Fernando M. Martin
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Research

Macroeconomist and policy advisor
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Research

Working and published research

Research on monetary economics, fiscal and monetary policy, sovereign debt, banking and financial markets and dynamic contracts.

Working Papers

01

Monetary Policy and the COVID-19 Inflation Shock, with David Andolfatto.

02

Taxation and the Global Allocation of Intangibles, with Jesse LaBelle and Ana María Santacreu.

03

Fiscal Dominance.

04

How to Starve the Beast: Fiscal Policy Rules.

05

Time-Consistent Debt, with Per Krusell and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull.

Journal Publications

2025

Policy Rules and Large Crises in Emerging Markets, with Emilio Espino, Julian Kozlowski and Juan M. Sánchez. Journal of International Economics, 158, 104179.

2025

Domestic Policies and Sovereign Default, with Emilio Espino, Julian Kozlowski and Juan M. Sánchez. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 17(3): 74–113.

2023

Welfare-Enhancing Inflation and Liquidity Premia, with David Andolfatto. Review of Economic Dynamics, 51: 1036–1047.

2023

External Shocks versus Domestic Policies in Emerging Markets, with Emilio Espino, Julian Kozlowski and Juan Sánchez. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 105(2): 108–121.

2023

The Economic Impact of COVID-19 around the World, with Juan M. Sánchez and Olivia Wilkinson. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 105(2): 74–88.

2022

The Blockchain Revolution: Decoding Digital Currencies, with David Andolfatto. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 104(3): 149–165.

2020

Money, Banking and Financial Markets, with David Andolfatto and Aleksander Berentsen. Review of Economic Studies, 87(5): 2049–2086.

2018

Markov-Perfect Risk Sharing, Moral Hazard and Limited Commitment, with Alexander Karaivanov. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 94: 1–23.

2018

Monetary Policy and Liquid Government Debt, with David Andolfatto. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 89: 183–199.

2017

Rehypothecation and Liquidity, with David Andolfatto and Shengxing Zhang. European Economic Review, 100: 488–505.

2016

Market Power and Asset Contractibility in Dynamic Insurance Contracts, with Alexander Karaivanov. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 98(2): 111–127.

2015

Debt, Inflation and Central Bank Independence. European Economic Review, 79: 129–150.

2015

Policy and Welfare Effects of Within-Period Commitment. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 19(7): 1401–1426.

2015

Dynamic Optimal Insurance and Lack of Commitment, with Alexander Karaivanov. Review of Economic Dynamics, 18(2): 287–305.

2013

Information Disclosure and Exchange Media, with David Andolfatto. Review of Economic Dynamics, 16(3): 527–539.

2013

Government Policy in Monetary Economies. International Economic Review, 54(1): 185–217.

2012

Sovereign Debt: A Modern Greek Tragedy, with Christopher J. Waller. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 94(5): 321–340.

2012

Government Policy Response to War-Expenditure Shocks. The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics: Contributions, 12(1): 1–40.

2011

On the Joint Determination of Fiscal and Monetary Policy. Journal of Monetary Economics, 58(2): 132–145.

2010

Markov-Perfect Capital and Labor Taxes. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 34(3): 503–521.

2009

A Positive Theory of Government Debt. Review of Economic Dynamics, 12(4): 608–631.

Book Chapters

2022

The Return of Inflation? In James A. Dorn, ed., Populism and the Future of the Fed, Cato Institute, Chapter 9, pp. 131–143.

Other Publications

2025

Implications of Inflation Dynamics for Monetary Policy Strategies, with Hess Chung, Callum Jones and Antoine Lepetit. FEDS Paper 2025-72.

2025

An Assessment of Canada’s 2021–22 Inflation Surge, with David Andolfatto. C.D. Howe Institute Commentary 688.

2018

Fiscal and Monetary Policies: Where We Are and the Road Ahead. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 89: 2–4.

1999

Financiaciones por Actividad Económica. Banco Central de la República Argentina, Nota Técnica No. 5.

© Fernando M. Martin

 

Views expressed here are my own and do not necessarily reflect those of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis or the Federal Reserve System.